bet365’s Ashes 5th Test Tips: England v Australia predictions
Australia are 13/8 to win this fifth test having clung on to the Ashes urn thanks to a final-day washout in the fourth Test at Old Trafford, but they look a jaded side as they reach the end of a gruelling tour of England where the hosts are 13/10 to take the ‘moral victory’ and win the test.
The Aussies' summer began with a victory over India at The Oval in the World Test Championship final but they may struggle on their return to the venue for the fifth Ashes Test.
The hosts have rallied impressively after losing the first two matches, winning at Headingley and dominating the draw in Manchester and If Stuart Broad’s consistently solid performances are anything to go off then boosted odds for him to be the Top 1 st Innings Bowler from 11/2 to 6/1 look promising.
England produced some scintillating cricket to give themselves a chance of victory at Old Trafford despite the woeful weather and they should be backed to win the fifth Test at The Oval, with Mark Wood a potential Player of the Match boosted from 9/1 to 10/1.
They thumped South Africa by nine wickets in south London last summer, bowling out the Proteas for 118 and 169, and beat Australia there by 135 runs to earn a 2-2 series draw in 2019.
A similar story could be on the cards, especially if the aforementioned Mark Wood and Chris Woakes, who bowled brilliantly in the third and fourth Tests, are passed fit and England's batting unit should be confident after six of the top seven scored first-innings fifties at Old Trafford.
Australia were grateful for the rain in Manchester and, while showers are also forecast for The Oval, the weather may not be enough to save them in the fifth and final Test, especially if Chris Woakes can produce a 5/1 Top Match bowler performance.
England could easily be 3-1 up rather than 2-1 down after a topsy-turvy series but they are finishing strongly and the Aussies, playing their sixth Test match in seven weeks and missing key spinner Nathan Lyon, are worth opposing.
Marnus Labuschagne had a tough start to the series, getting a first-ball duck at Edgbaston before scores of 13, 47, 30, 21 and 33 in his next five innings.
However, Australia's number three is a class player who averages nearly 55 in Test cricket and he stepped up when his team needed him at Old Trafford, following up a first-innings 51 with a vital 111 to halt England's victory charge second time around.
Labuschagne looked back to his best in the fourth Test and he is worth backing to score over 69.5 match runs, at 5/6.
His first Ashes century in England was a crucial one, holding off the home bowlers until the rain came to end the contest, and he dug in against a top-class India attack at The Oval in June, scoring 26 and 41.
Steve Smith, priced at 5/6 to get over 82.5 match runs, has a wonderful Test record at The Oval, scoring three centuries in four matches there, and Travis Head was player of the match in the WTC final thanks to his 163 against India.
However, they could be overshadowed by the impressive Mitchell Marsh, who seems to raise his game for Ashes Tests and has batted superbly since coming back into the side at Headingley, with 6/1 odds to get the most match sixes somewhat expected.
Marsh counter-attacked beautifully in the first innings at Leeds, scoring 118 off 118 balls with 17 fours and four sixes, and he showed his defensive capabilities at Old Trafford where his unbeaten 31 off 107 deliveries helped the Aussies stave off defeat.
Marsh was a late replacement for the injured Cameron Green in Leeds but he has seized his unexpected opportunity with scores of 118, 28, 51 and 31 not out.
All three of his Test centuries have come against England and, having top-scored in the first innings in Leeds and been joint-top batter with Labuschagne at Old Trafford. He is worth a bet to sign off in style if he should fulfil 11/2 odds on being the Top 1 st innings batter and starting Australia’s batting campaign off strong.
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